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(fiscal 1969 and fiscal 1970, and part of fiscal 1971) the average number of admissions will be about 65 per month compared to the present average of about 40. If time spent per admission in the institution does not decrease, then the average daily population will increase by approximately 60 per cent at the end of fiscal 1973. The probability of commitment and of average length of sentence will probably increase, but the effects of such an increase are difficult to estimate. The Direction of such an effect is clear, however: an increased average daily population.

Graphs 27, 28, 29, and 30 following show admissions trends, proportion of felons, proportions of delinquents, and proportions of aftercare or probation, as charted by the Office of Crime Analysis on the basis of Social Services Administration data.

The Social Services Administration has charted admissions on the basis of more recent data for September, October, and November of 1970, showing a very rapid upturn in commitments. This is shown in Graph 31. It indicates that if present trends continue, admissions may double--reach 80 per month--by the end of fiscal year 1972.